Small Group Tutorials

Here to help students catch up, keep up, and move ahead. Book a consultation here.

How to Perform in the new G3 SEC Examinations | Learner’s Guide Vol 0193 | English Comprehension: Cause, Correlation and Alternative Explanations — Read What a Claim Actually Proves

2027 G3 SEC English Language K300 | Learner’s Guide Vol 0193. A familiar headline sounds persuasive: “Students who spend more time in the library earn better grades.” But does using the library produce the grades? Might successful students simply prefer the library? This guide teaches the reading skill that keeps those possibilities apart. It is about answering the source, not collecting clever objections.

The following examples and worked exercises are original fictional teaching material, not SEAB examination questions or evidence about a real school. Begin with the recorded observation, test the explanation, and choose language that matches the evidence.

1. The 2027 examination and the skill this guide teaches

The official SEAB 2027 G3 school-candidate directory, updated 26 October 2026, lists English Language as K300. The K300 syllabus gives Paper 2 Comprehension 50 marks, 35 per cent of the subject, and one hour fifty minutes. Its Section C uses a non-narrative text and includes an 80-word summary task. It assesses literal, inferential and evaluative understanding. This chapter is preparation for that broad skill, not a prediction that a particular causal-reasoning question will appear. The same reading discipline also helps situational writing, where a student may need to recommend an action without exaggerating the evidence. A strong answer separates what the passage says, what the evidence shows, and what remains possible but unproved.

2. A claim is not the same as the evidence beneath it

Suppose a school newsletter announces, “Our new reading corner made students enjoy books more.” The statement is a causal conclusion: it attributes a change to one specific intervention. Beneath it might be a survey showing that 64 of 80 respondents liked reading this term, compared with 48 of 80 last term. That is a measured difference in reported enjoyment, assuming the questions and samples are comparable. It does not, by itself, establish why the change happened. A comprehension answer earns precision by keeping the result and the explanation in separate sentences. The writer claims causation; the figures show a rise in a reported measure. Those are different things to recognise.

3. Describe the observation before naming a mechanism

Good readers begin with a sentence that could be checked against the source. “The group recorded fewer late arrivals after the new timetable” is a description. “The timetable caused fewer late arrivals” adds a causal link. “The timetable was the only reason” makes a stronger, usually risky claim. Each step requires extra evidence. Examiners may ask what a sentence suggests, why an author chose a comparison, or whether a conclusion is justified. The safest habit is to name the observed change first, and only then decide how far the passage supports an explanation. Describing is not being timid; it is establishing the factual floor on which interpretation must stand.

4. Correlation means a pattern, not a proven direction

When two measures tend to rise or fall together, they are associated. More revision sessions may coincide with higher scores. More rainy days may coincide with more umbrellas seen near the school gate. The connection alone does not reveal whether one variable causes the other, whether the direction is reversed, or whether a third factor influences both. In ordinary prose, “linked with,” “associated with,” and “tended to occur alongside” are often safer than “resulted in.” The text might provide additional evidence that justifies stronger language; use it when present. Do not automatically weaken a well-supported conclusion, but never promote a pattern to a proven explanation by swapping a verb.

5. Establish the timing before the explanation

Causes must precede their effects, but being earlier does not prove a cause. If a club introduces peer reading on Monday and survey scores rise by Friday, the timing makes the club a possible explanation. It does not rule out a school-wide reading event that happened on Tuesday. If the scores had already been rising for a month, the intervention cannot explain all of that earlier improvement. A careful reader marks dates, the order of events, how long a change lasted, and when measurements occurred. One useful question is, “Was there a trend before the supposed cause?” Another is, “Did the outcome appear only after the change?” Both help, neither settles the question alone.

6. The third-variable problem

A third variable may help explain why two things move together. Students who join a voluntary study group may already be especially motivated. They may also be more likely to complete homework. Comparing their results with those of non-members mixes the possible effect of the study group with prior motivation. Temperature may influence both drink sales and the number of visitors to a swimming pool. A passage need not use the technical word “confounder” for the reader to spot this problem. Look for differences between the groups that existed before the intervention, then ask whether these differences could plausibly affect the measured outcome.

7. Selection changes what a survey can tell us

Imagine a school surveys only students who attended a successful showcase. A high satisfaction score from those visitors describes the people who answered, not automatically every pupil in school. Students who disliked the activity may have stayed away. A survey link posted on a club’s social page may attract members disproportionately. The correct evaluation identifies who was asked, who responded, who was absent and what population the conclusion covers. It need not accuse the researchers of dishonesty. Selection limits can arise from convenience, access or timing even when everyone works carefully. “Among respondents” may be the crucial qualification in a high-quality answer.

8. Denominators decide whether percentages are comparable

One report says 30 per cent of Year Three pupils used the library last week. Another says 45 per cent of library visitors were Year Three pupils. Both percentages mention the same group, but their denominators differ. The first asks what share of Year Three pupils visited. The second asks what share of visitors belonged to Year Three. Neither directly answers the other question. Before evaluating a percentage, complete the sentence “___ out of ___.” If the denominator is missing, say so; do not invent it. Comparing unlike percentages is a common way to create a misleading contradiction or causal story. Precise comprehension depends on remembering exactly what was counted.

9. Sample size and representativeness solve different problems

A larger sample may reduce random fluctuation when it is gathered appropriately. It does not automatically fix an unrepresentative sample. A survey of 500 members of one club may tell us less about the entire school than a thoughtfully selected smaller sample drawn across year levels and activities. Likewise, a small sample can be useful for exploring possible explanations without proving a broad conclusion. When asked to evaluate a claim, check both the number of observations and the way they were selected. Resist two mechanical responses: “The sample is small, so it is false,” and “The sample is large, so it is reliable.” The real issue is whether the evidence is adequate for that precise conclusion.

10. A control group is a comparison, not a magic word

Suppose two similar classes complete a reading course, but only one receives an additional discussion session. Comparing both groups can be more informative than comparing the first class with itself across time. Yet the groups must be reasonably comparable, and both should be measured in similar ways. If one group has an earlier start or a different teacher, those details complicate the causal inference. A control does not guarantee perfect fairness. A strong answer can say that the second group helps show whether improvement might have happened without the additional session, while acknowledging any remaining differences. It states the useful role of the comparison without declaring it decisive.

11. Repeated observations help test an apparent effect

A single day’s higher score may reflect chance, unusual weather, absences or an assessment that suits one group better. Several independent comparisons over time can make a pattern more persuasive. But repetition is only helpful when the measurement remains clear and the conditions are recorded. If the same flawed question is used repeatedly, the flaw is repeated too. In reading passages, look for whether measurements were taken once or several times, whether the participants changed, and whether the findings were consistent. An answer might say, “The result occurred in three trials, which makes a one-off explanation less likely, although the passage does not remove all competing explanations.”

12. An alternative explanation is not a dismissal

A reader can offer a plausible alternative without claiming it is true. If a new school crossing is followed by fewer late arrivals, improved weather or a later first lesson might also explain part of the change. The passage may not test either possibility. That uncertainty is the point. Use careful words such as “could,” “might,” and “cannot be ruled out.” Do not write, “The result was definitely caused by better weather,” unless the evidence supports that claim. An alternative explanation is valuable when it exposes a gap between observation and certainty. It is not a licence to invent dramatic stories unrelated to the details supplied.

13. Reverse causation is a different problem

Sometimes the proposed direction may be backwards. A headline says, “Students who score highly ask more questions; therefore asking questions causes high marks.” It is possible that students who understand a lesson better feel confident enough to ask questions, or that confidence and understanding influence both. Asking questions might also help learning; the observation alone does not decide between the routes. To spot reverse causation, ask whether the outcome might influence the supposed cause. Then return to the passage: did the author measure what happened first, or merely identify two features at one time? The answer should explain the uncertainty, not automatically reverse the conclusion.

14. The difference between mechanism and evidence

A mechanism explains how a proposed cause might produce an effect. For example, a shorter lunch queue might leave students more time to eat, and that could reduce rushed meals. A mechanism makes an idea plausible, but plausibility alone does not show that the effect happened. Evidence might include timed observations, queue lengths and consistent changes across comparable days. An effective response combines these elements carefully: the mechanism explains what could happen, and the measurements test whether something like it occurred. When a text provides only a mechanism, avoid describing an outcome as established. When it provides only a pattern, do not invent a detailed mechanism the author never supplied.

15. Distinguish personal testimony from population evidence

A pupil might say, “Since I changed my study space, I concentrate better.” That is meaningful testimony about one person’s experience. It does not prove that every pupil would improve in the same way. The speaker could be accurate about a personal change even if the explanation remains uncertain. A school survey, meanwhile, may describe a wider pattern but lose individual detail. Read each type of evidence for the claim it can support. Do not dismiss lived experience as worthless, and do not turn it into a universal rule. A strong answer can describe the testimony as an example consistent with the claim, while noting its limited scope.

16. The writer’s purpose shapes the strength of wording

A promotional leaflet may call a pilot programme a “breakthrough.” A careful research note may call the same figures “promising but preliminary.” The difference is not necessarily a factual contradiction. One text may be persuading readers to participate; the other may be testing a proposition. A comprehension question about purpose asks why information is framed in a certain way, not whether the writer is personally trustworthy. Identify the intended audience, the action sought and the words used to express certainty. Then connect them: “The phrase makes the result sound settled, encouraging parents to support the trial even though the reported evidence is limited.” That is analytical rather than accusatory.

17. Verbs are evidence controls

“Proves,” “demonstrates,” “shows,” “suggests,” “is consistent with” and “may” are not decorative synonyms. They express different degrees of confidence. If a passage reports an observed association, “suggests a possible connection” may fit. If a well-designed comparison establishes a particular result under defined conditions, “shows that the measured outcome differed” may be appropriate. Earlier Vol 0185 on evidence verbs trained this choice. Apply it here to causal language. Read the exact question before deciding how cautious to be: an inference question allows a reasoned possibility, while a “what does the table show?” question first demands accurate description.

18. The question’s command determines the response

“State” may need one short fact. “Explain” requires a link between cause or mechanism and effect. “Evaluate” invites judgement about the adequacy or limitations of evidence. “To what extent” asks for a measured conclusion rather than an unconditional yes or no. Students sometimes write a long lecture about sampling when the question merely asks for a figure. Others provide a figure when asked whether a conclusion is justified. Read the verb, underline the object of the question and decide what evidence belongs. A useful test is to replace the response with “This answers the exact question because…”. If you cannot complete that sentence, the answer may be wandering.

19. A two-column reading margin

During practice, draw two columns headed “reported observation” and “writer’s interpretation.” In the first column record numbers, dates, comparisons and directly described events. In the second record words that claim cause, promise improvement or recommend action. This small separation slows down premature agreement or rejection. Later add a third column, “missing check,” for data that could distinguish rival explanations. Keep the notes brief enough to be useful under timed conditions: “68/100 vs 52/100; new reading sessions; no unchanged comparison class.” Such notes support a well-judged answer without requiring a lengthy formal critique of every sentence.

20. Work through an original library example

A fictional newsletter reports that weekly visits rose from 120 to 150 after the library introduced quiet study booths. The absolute rise is 30 visits, or 25 per cent of the earlier 120. This alone does not establish that 30 additional individual students visited; some pupils may have visited multiple times. Nor does it establish that the booths caused all the growth. Suppose the same month also included a school reading challenge. The strongest supported answer is that recorded visits increased during the period after the booths appeared, while the effect of the booths alone remains uncertain. That conclusion uses the data and refuses to add unsupported certainty.

21. An apparently conflicting second report

A second fictional report says the proportion of pupils using the library fell from 40 to 38 per cent. Does this contradict the rise from 120 to 150 visits? Not necessarily. One figure counts visits; the other counts distinct pupils as a share of the school population. Attendance and total enrolment could also differ. This is the same discipline taught in Vol 0189 on apparently conflicting claims: check what was counted, when and for whom. A polished comprehension response does not simply choose the better-looking statistic. It identifies the denominators and explains how both statements could hold without describing the writer of either report as wrong.

22. A visual text adds framing risks

A chart can make a small change look dramatic by starting its vertical axis above zero. A caption can report the final month while a paragraph discusses the full term. A photograph of a busy room shows a moment, not average attendance. When reading a visual source, inspect its title, axes, units, legend, sample and date. These features may carry qualifications that the surrounding prose overlooks. Avoid claiming that a graph is misleading merely because it uses a non-zero axis: in some contexts that scale may be reasonable. Explain instead how the chosen presentation may emphasise a difference, and whether the numerical labels allow a fair reading.

23. Numbers and quotations need different treatment

A number is useful only when its unit and base are known. A quotation is useful only when its speaker and surrounding context are known. Suppose a poster quotes a teacher: “The classroom feels calmer.” That reports a perception, not a measured noise reduction. A sound meter reading, if properly described, supplies a different kind of evidence. Both could matter to a decision. A good reader neither treats the quotation as a statistical result nor strips its human meaning away. In an answer, name the source and type: “The teacher’s comment reports an impression; the recorded measurements would be needed to establish a change in sound level.”

24. When the author is justified in making a modest claim

Not every cautious answer should end with “there is insufficient evidence.” If a text clearly establishes a difference in recorded attendance, say so. A report can accurately conclude that one class improved more than another in its test without proving that the teaching method will work everywhere. The useful task is to match the strength of the sentence to the strength of the observation. For example, “In these two comparable classes, the discussion group had a greater average gain” is a real conclusion if the figures support it. “All schools should use this method” requires broader evidence and attention to practical conditions.

25. Build a precise answer in three moves

First, state the strongest directly supported finding. Second, link one relevant detail from the source. Third, set a boundary only if the question calls for evaluation. For example: “The number of recorded visits rose by 30, from 120 to 150. However, the figures count visits rather than distinct visitors, and the newsletter does not isolate the effect of the new booths.” That is complete without being inflated. If the question only asks for the change, stop after the first sentence. If it asks for an author’s likely intention, mention how the selection or framing of details serves the audience. Accuracy includes knowing when to finish.

26. Practise under the real paper’s time constraints

The K300 Paper 2 has one hour fifty minutes for all its sections; this guide does not impose an invented official allocation for each individual question. During a practice passage, first identify topic, people, time and the claim being tested. Mark figures and qualifiers directly on the page. For a short evaluative answer, prepare a one-line finding and one-line limit before writing. Then compare your answer with the wording of the question. When practising the 80-word summary component, preserve distinct content points rather than adding your own criticisms unless the task specifically calls for them. Practise switching between concise description and careful evaluation because each serves a different demand.

27. A correction ledger that improves future answers

After marking a practice set, sort each mistake by the actual weakness: wrong denominator; confused visits with visitors; changed association into cause; invented an alternative as fact; missed a time qualifier; failed to answer the command word; or ignored a diagram label. The correction should name the mistaken inference, not simply replace it with the model answer. Revisit one item two days later with different numbers and a different context. Transfer matters more than recognition. Link this practice with the English learning practice guide and the PSLE English, Mathematics and Science foundations when a basic reading or arithmetic weakness is still interfering with higher-level explanation.

28. The final judgement is a bounded sentence

Advanced comprehension is not about sounding doubtful of everything. It is about making exactly the judgement that the source permits. A reader can accept a documented increase, acknowledge a plausible mechanism and still reject a universal promise. Equally, a reader can identify a real contradiction where two sources do measure the same thing, at the same time, for the same group and reach different claims. State those conditions explicitly. The examination rewards effective reading and communication, not a collection of fashionable sceptical phrases. A well-bounded answer is often shorter, clearer and stronger than a confident answer that has outrun its evidence.

29. Thirty-six original mini-exercises with worked explanations

Answer each question before reading its explanation. These exercises deliberately change the context so that one well-learnt method can transfer beyond a familiar example. Write a full sentence when an explanation is needed.

Exercise 1. A flyer states that 70% of survey respondents favour a longer recess. Can a pupil say 70% of all students favour it?

Worked answer. No. The percentage applies to the students who responded. Without knowing who was invited, who replied and whether the respondents represent the whole school, the claim must remain limited to respondents.

Exercise 2. Library visits increase from 80 to 100. What is the percentage increase?

Worked answer. The increase is 20 visits; divide 20 by the original 80 to obtain 25%. Do not divide by 100, the later number, because the comparison asks for an increase relative to the original level.

Exercise 3. A club advert says students scored better after joining. Identify one reasonable alternative explanation.

Worked answer. Students who chose to join may already have had stronger motivation or more support. This is a possibility to test, not proof that the club was ineffective.

Exercise 4. A school reports higher average scores in one class. Must every pupil in that class have improved?

Worked answer. No. An average describes a group summary. Some pupils may have improved, stayed similar or fallen. Individual data would be needed to answer the claim about every pupil.

Exercise 5. Which verb suits a single survey reporting an association: proves or suggests?

Worked answer. Suggests is normally safer for a causal interpretation because a survey association alone does not establish direction or rule out competing explanations. The result may still show the association that was measured.

Exercise 6. A passage says results improved before a programme began. What does this timing change?

Worked answer. The programme cannot explain the earlier improvement. It might contribute to later change, but the reader must not attribute the entire existing trend to the newly introduced programme.

Exercise 7. How can high water sales and hot weather be related without one directly causing the other?

Worked answer. Hot weather may increase demand for water. That is a plausible mechanism. But a source reporting both higher sales and heat alone may not identify how much of the rise the temperature explains.

Exercise 8. A chart says 40% of visitors are Year Four; a paragraph says 40% of Year Four pupils visited. Equivalent?

Worked answer. No. The chart uses all visitors as its denominator; the paragraph uses all Year Four pupils. Both can be true or false independently. State each base before comparing.

Exercise 9. What is wrong with ‘the experiment was repeated, therefore no bias exists’?

Worked answer. Repetition can reveal consistency but can also reproduce a biased measurement. The student should examine sampling, controls, measurement and whether repetition was independent.

Exercise 10. A teacher describes a calmer classroom after a change. What does that comment establish?

Worked answer. It establishes a reported perception, assuming quotation accuracy. It does not by itself quantify the change or isolate the reason for it. An answer should identify its evidential role.

Exercise 11. A school compares two classes but uses different tests. Why is interpretation difficult?

Worked answer. Different test difficulty can influence the measured scores. The comparison may mix the proposed teaching effect with differences in how performance was assessed.

Exercise 12. A campaign poster shows one packed study table. Can the picture prove average daily usage increased?

Worked answer. No. The picture records a selected moment. Average daily usage requires comparable counts across a defined period rather than one photograph.

Exercise 13. A graph’s axis begins at 95 instead of zero. What should a careful reader write?

Worked answer. Describe that the compressed scale visually enlarges differences, then inspect the actual values. Do not assume the display is invalid; decide whether the numerical interpretation remains fair.

Exercise 14. A headline reads ‘Peer tutoring guarantees success.’ What further evidence would a universal claim require?

Worked answer. It would require much broader and more dependable evidence than an isolated improvement. Even then, guarantees about every student would be hard to justify because outcomes vary.

Exercise 15. A report includes only pupils who completed a course. Who has been left out?

Worked answer. Pupils who withdrew or never finished. Their outcomes may be important when judging how effective or accessible the course is for everyone who began.

Exercise 16. Describe the safest response to a passage that gives a plausible cause but no observations.

Worked answer. Explain the proposed mechanism as a possibility. Avoid presenting an observed outcome or measured effect that the passage never records.

Exercise 17. Two sources describe different months. May we call their findings contradictory?

Worked answer. Not without checking whether a condition could have changed between the dates. Earlier and later measurements can differ without either being wrong.

Exercise 18. What distinguishes a cause from a coincidental sequence?

Worked answer. A cause helps produce the effect. A sequence only records that one event occurred before another. Additional comparisons or mechanism-based evidence are needed to support causation.

Exercise 19. The question asks ‘state the recorded change.’ Should you discuss sampling bias?

Worked answer. Usually not unless requested. Give the recorded numerical or descriptive change accurately and briefly. Answering more than the task requires can waste time and blur the point.

Exercise 20. The question asks ‘evaluate the conclusion.’ What is missing from a statement of the numbers alone?

Worked answer. A judgement about whether those numbers support the claimed explanation, scope or certainty. Identify a specific strength and a specific limitation rather than merely repeating the data.

Exercise 21. Why might a large sample of one club still be unrepresentative?

Worked answer. All participants share a membership characteristic that may differ from the wider school. Sample size alone does not remove the selection problem.

Exercise 22. A trial had a comparison group. Can the writer claim it proves everything?

Worked answer. No. Compare starting conditions, methods and outcomes. A comparison can strengthen an inference while leaving differences that complicate interpretation.

Exercise 23. The number of visits rises, but the number of distinct visitors falls. Is that impossible?

Worked answer. No. Fewer people can make more visits each. One statistic counts events; the other counts unique people. The apparently opposite trends may coexist.

Exercise 24. A student writes ‘the programme definitely failed because another cause is possible.’ Repair the claim.

Worked answer. A plausible alternative weakens an unsupported claim of certainty but does not prove failure. Say that the evidence cannot isolate the programme’s effect without further checks.

Exercise 25. What is a neutral way to mention a source’s persuasive purpose?

Worked answer. Explain that the author highlights the favourable results to encourage participation or support. Link the interpretation to wording and audience rather than assuming dishonest motives.

Exercise 26. Does the word ‘after’ automatically mean ‘because of’?

Worked answer. No. ‘After’ communicates sequence; ‘because of’ communicates cause. Only change the wording if the passage supplies a reasoned causal connection.

Exercise 27. What would a useful replication record include?

Worked answer. Dates, participants, conditions, measurement rules and each trial’s outcome. Without those details, repeated results may be difficult to compare or interpret.

Exercise 28. How should an answer treat a small but consistent result?

Worked answer. State that it is consistent across the observed trials, then consider sample size, selection and practical significance before generalising. Consistency is relevant, not absolute proof.

Exercise 29. A pupil writes ‘all students benefited’ from a group mean increase. Edit the sentence.

Worked answer. The group’s mean score increased. That statement preserves the recorded statistic without claiming an improvement for every individual.

Exercise 30. How can a writer combine a finding and a limitation in two sentences?

Worked answer. Give the observed result first, including the base or comparison. Then add the single most relevant missing check. This construction is direct, proportionate and easy to assess.

Exercise 31. A passage says 15 of 30 pupils preferred Method A, another 18 of 60 did. Which group had a higher share?

Worked answer. The first had 50%; the second had 30%. The larger raw count in the second group does not mean a larger proportion. State the denominator before interpreting.

Exercise 32. What should an advanced answer do when the evidence actually establishes a limited result?

Worked answer. Accept that result rather than defaulting to blanket scepticism. Distinguish measured effect in the observed setting from broader claims about every school, student or future occasion.

Exercise 33. What if a quotation is taken from a sentence containing ‘might’?

Worked answer. Keep that qualifier in the interpretation. Omitting it can turn speculation into a stated certainty and misrepresent the speaker’s actual claim.

Exercise 34. What is the best final check before handing in an evaluative answer?

Worked answer. Ask whether every claim in your response is grounded in the provided material or openly marked as a possibility. Then confirm that the response addresses the command word, group and time period.

Exercise 35. An author reports 85% satisfaction in a self-selected survey. Write a bounded one-sentence finding.

Worked answer. Among those who chose to respond, 85% reported satisfaction; the figure alone does not establish the satisfaction level of people who did not reply.

Exercise 36. A reader thinks the school report is wrong because a second report uses different units. What should the reader do?

Worked answer. Translate both measures to a common, genuinely comparable unit if possible, or explain why a direct comparison cannot be made. Do not turn incompatible measures into a factual contradiction.

30. A longer independent practice

Fictional source A: A secondary school introduces a five-minute quiet-reading period each morning. One term later, 54 out of 90 surveyed pupils say they read for pleasure at least three times a week; the previous term’s survey had recorded 42 out of 90. The head of the reading club says the morning period deserves credit for the rise. Fictional source B: The school librarian notes that a new graphic-novel collection and a book festival were launched during the same term. Neither report says whether the same pupils answered both surveys.

First calculate the two reported shares: 54/90 = 60%, and 42/90 is approximately 46.7%, a rise of about 13.3 percentage points, not 13.3%. Then write the strongest bounded conclusion: the surveyed share reporting frequent pleasure reading rose across the two survey rounds. The evidence does not isolate the five-minute period as the cause because other reading initiatives took place, and the samples may differ. The book festival could have contributed, but the source does not establish its effect either. Finally explain that a comparison of similar classes, consistent measurement questions and repeated observations would help test the programme’s contribution.

31. Retrieval, checking and the route forward

Close the guide and explain without notes the difference between an observed change, a causal interpretation and a universal prediction. Then complete three fresh tasks: compare a percentage with a raw count; identify an omitted comparison group; and rewrite a confident claim as a bounded conclusion. If one task still fails, return to its numbered section rather than reading everything again. Continue from Vol 0189 for scope/time differences and Vol 0185 for evidence-verb discipline. The next Mathematics and Biology volumes use the same principle in numerical and scientific settings: an exact measurement is not permission to overstate what it proves.